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From the monthly archives:

June 2008

As June comes to a close, I’d like to thank visitors, readers, and commenters who enjoyed or contributed to Consumerism Commentary over the past month. I particularly like to mention the blogs and related websites that helped sustain Consumerism Commentary by linking here and providing paths for visitors to arrive. Here are the websites, not including RSS readers, social media websites, and search engines, that sent the most visitors to Consumerism Commentary over the past 30 days.

  1. Get Rich Slowly +2
  2. Lifehacker 0
  3. MoneyBlogNetwork +3
  4. AllFinancialMatters +4
  5. No Credit Needed +7
  6. Free Money Finance +4
  7. The Simple Dollar 0
  8. Five Cent Nickel new
  9. My Open Wallet new
  10. I Will Teach You To Be Rich -7

Here are the most popular articles from the month of June.

  1. Getting Ripped Off for New Jersey Gasoline: Inaccurately Calibrated Pumps, Part 2 and Part 3
  2. Carnival of Personal Finance #157: Third Anniversary Edition
  3. McCain vs. Obama: Your Future Tax Bill
  4. How Much the iPhone 3G Really Costs You
  5. Passive Income: Real Estate? Blogging? I Don’t Think So
  6. Quicken 2009 Beta Open to Volunteers for Testing
  7. How I Could Find $10,000 Per Year if Necessary
  8. Personal Income Statement, May 2008 (Net Income: $9,943)
  9. Obama Proposes Second Economic Stimulus Package
  10. Personal Balance Sheet, May 2008 ($158,793, +7.8%)

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I’ve come across a number of interesting websites thanks to the Wall Street Journal podcast, the Tech News Briefing, including the E-Report with Tom Dziubek and and Paul Herrmann. (Note: Tom has interviewed me three times for the E-Report.) Most recently, the podcast informed me about RepairPal, a website that helps you find a local mechanic including reviews, get your car questions answered by other community members (or by experts for a fee), and keep track of your own car’s service records.

The tool I find most interesting is a survey of the actual costs paid to have maintenance performed on any make and model. For example, I wanted to compare my recent oil and filter change for a Honda Civic with the prices paid by those living near me. I paid $25 after rebate.

RepairPRice EstimateHere are the results. The prices paid for an oil change range from $22 to $40 in my area, with the low end of this range paid at independent shops and the high end paid at dealerships.

The search results also include links to location information, phone numbers, and reviews for local shops. If the site can attract enough people to write reviews, this will be a handy resource. As of now, the site is new, so the list of shops is use but not as good as word of mouth for recommendations.

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I don’t think “market timing” is a good investment strategy — in fact, it’s not a strategy at all — but it can be a worthwhile experiment if played with money you don’t mind losing.

One way to time the market is to buy low-cost exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These investments act as mutual funds — a portfolio of a number of stocks — that can be purchased through the stock market like any other stock. Using ETFs rather than individual stocks for market timing allows the investor to mitigate the risk of investing in just one company. Powershares Dynamic Banking (PJB) is one such ETF, designed to track the retail banking industry.

Are banks ready for a rebound? PJB is down 23% over the past 12 months. If it’s the right time, banking stocks might be able to provide not only a short-term gain, but a long-term gain if the market believes that this sector is deeply discounted due to all the various market conditions that have affected banks over the past year.

Some experts are saying that now is a good time to buy into the banking sector, but others believe that there will be more bad news ahead, trending stock prices further downward.

I’m investing for the long-term, but I wouldn’t mind finding bargains that might provide a significant increase over the next few years. Is banking the right industry for a fast recovery, and is now the right time?

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Despite contributions totaling thousands of dollars so far this year, since January 1, the value of my investment portfolio is down 10%. That’s enough of a decline to make anyone consider giving up on the stock market. It’s an understandable point of view.

My 401(k) offers an automated interview to help you choose your asset allocation. Several questions resolve around the comfortability during losses. When the stock market has been in an upward trend, it’s a lot easier to say you’d be willing to experience a 20% decline over one year. However, during a bear market, those who believe they are suited for aggressive and risky investing are put to the test.

Do you cut your losses? Is it time to reconsider your long-term strategy?

I don’t think so. I’ll be sticking with my plan. If you have several decades to retirement, the stock market should continue its upward trend. In fact, staying the course and buying smartly during a bear market provides the opportunity for bargain-hunting.

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Once again, I have refreshed the list of ING Direct $25 bonus referral links. New customers are eligible for a $25 bonus just y opening an account and depositing at least $250. Consumerism Commentary readers have been very helpful by providing these links for other readers. As a reward, ING Direct provides the referrer with a $10 bonus in addition to the $25 to the new customer.

I’ve closed the waiting list for now, but subscribe to the Consumerism Commentary RSS feed to be informed when the waiting list is open again.

Click here to start saving with ING DIRECT!

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Earlier today, I put the Hoover SteamVac I purchased last week to the test.

The SteamVac required assembly, but the instructions were straightforward. The parts are mostly plastic and they had a “cheap” feel, but when the SteamVac was assembled, the construction was lightweight and easy enough to move across the carpet, even with full tanks.

I started with the dining room, one of the rooms with the lowest foot traffic in the apartment. The receiving tank was full of water by the time I was about 67% finished with the first room. As I removed the tank and dumped its contents, I was amazed at the amount of dirty water. After finishing the dining room, I progressed to the higher-traffic living room.

The manual says that the carpets will dry within six hours after cleaning, but I found that the carpet was mostly dry within as few as three hours.

Cleaning is a therapeutic activity. It actually feels good to get something really clean. I just don’t particularly like the process.

Now, here are some articles I’ve enjoyed lately.

First, check out the latest Carnival of Personal Finance, hosted by Mrs. Micah. She’s chosen a Buffy the Vampire Slayer theme.

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The idea of “getting rich slowly” may well be a fallacy. While slow and steady is a great method of accumulating wealth over long periods of time thanks to compounding interest and returns, the power of inflation — real inflation, not government-reported inflation, eats away at the value of your funds almost ensuring you will never “get rich” from steady investment in a diversified portfolio of stocks. You may retire with a few million dollars thirty years from now, but by the time you’re contemplating your southern migration, time has eroded the value of a dollar to a fraction of today’s purchasing power.

So what is one to do?

Annie Logue from MSN Money has the answers, offering seven ways to get rich a little faster than “slowly.” There is a small problem with her advice though; the seven pieces of advice that can help you get rich are the same seven causes of total financial ruin. The difference between using any of these ideas to get rich and allowing these ideas to lead to financial ruin is not necessarily level of skill, perseverance, or positive thinking.

Here are Annie’s seven ways to get rich, which I argue could just as easily — more easily — have the opposite of the desired effect.

1. Concentrate. Annie says: “Diversification is great because it reduces risk. But at some point, you might want to build on your nicely diversified core with a big chunk of risk concentrated in one sector.” Her source adds: “The investments that have the smallest volatility also have the smallest end returns.”

It shouldn’t be hard, especially recently, to realize that the total stock market index is quite volatile in itself. A concentration in one segment adds volatility and risk, which means both the financial rewards and the financial suffering will be amplified. Concentration is great for a small portion of your portfolio that you can afford to lose. That portion will probably be too small to make you rich in the event of a sector’s success.

Let’s not forget about those who were heavily concentrated in the technology sector which crashed at the beginning of this century. There were lost fortunes all around because those invested in these particular stocks valued their concentration and faith.

2. Leverage up. Annie says: “One quick way to increase your risk and your potential return (as well as your downside) is to borrow money for your investment, usually through a margin account at a brokerage firm… It’s true that leverage can generate a return on money you don’t have, but it generates an outsized risk as well.”

Leverage is one of the main reasons our economy not well right now. Highly leveraged real estate allowed more people to enter the marketplace as buyers and more buyers led to higher, unsustainable prices in many markets. Businesses use leverage to a great advantage most of the time, but businesses who do not manage this risk are in danger.

Buying stocks on margin is one of the riskiest endeavors available to a typical individual investor. If the stock performs well, you have nothing to worry about, unless your success leads you to continue the cycle of investing on margin. You’re almost guaranteed to fail at some point, and the failure can easily wipe out all your gains. The risk is much greater on the downside because a drop in the stock price can quickly result in a margin call, in which case all your debt will be due to the broker immediately.

3. Hunt for bargains. Annie says: “Phillips recommends that investors consider distressed securities, such as bonds issued by companies near bankruptcy or, right now, stocks in banks that have heavy real-estate exposure.” Are you interested in junk bonds? When the economy is in the trough of a cycle, like now, you often hear about looking for bargain-priced investments.

This technique is stacked against the individual amateur investor. One can find a bargain with information about a company not known by the market at large, but if the information is out there to be known, you’re better bet is that the people who move significant sums around the market already have that information. Maybe you can ride the wave.

4. Be above brands. Annie says: “Many investors feel safest with something they know. But just because you have never heard of something doesn’t make it a bad investment.” I agree wholeheartedly. Once you’ve heard about a new brand, unless you are an industry insider or specialist, chances are the brand has already experienced the kind of growth that would make someone rich in a short amount of time.

So how do you become an industry insider or specialist? Well, it’s not going to come from reading the junk email you receive touting this or that penny stock. “Invest in what you know” is Peter Lynch’s mantra. He’s the investment star from Fidelity. “The more you know…” is the motto for NBC’s public service announcements. A combination of the two may be the only way to make this suggestion work.

5. Explore emerging markets. Annie says: “It’s a big world out there, and much of it is growing faster than the United States. There will be risk in all these markets as their citizens feel their way into modern economies…” I think it’s a good idea for the modern investor to start thinking about investing around the world rather than domestic vs. international. Like it or not, the world is getting metaphorically smaller, and nations’ economies are increasingly affected by other nations outside their borders.

Emerging markets is great for diversification, but it’s not a way for the individual investor to get rich. There is more of a likelihood for getting rich through direct investment in a country that has the potential for growth by moving to the country, building land, and directly assisting their economy through local businesses. Investing in emerging markets from the comfort of your recliner is safer but ultimately less effective.

Once you move to the country in the emerging market you like, you run the risk of government seizure, rebellious uprisings, xenophobia, embargoes, stiff regulations, invasion or war, or political unrest. This is a dangerous move if you’re investing your life savings.

6. Consider commodities. Annie says: “In a world economy that is growing rapidly, demand for commodities — such as oil, cotton and corn — is bound to grow. As demand grows, prices of commodities are likely to rise. Individual investors can get exposure to growing global demand for commodities through commodity-based exchange-traded funds.”

Anytime someone claims that any particular type of investment will continue to rise, you should be skeptical. I agree that consumption across the world will continue to grow, but that’s a long term view that doesn’t match the article’s purpose of “getting rich quickly.”

7. Do your research. Annie says: “The more risk you want to take, the more work you’ll have to do… The advice of steel tycoon Andrew Carnegie was that it’s OK to put all your eggs in one basket, as long as you watch the basket pretty carefully.”

I still find it very unlikely that any research you uncover isn’t already known by people with much more money to move in the market. Are there are particular niches in the market that are not being researched right now by those who make research their living? I would find that very hard to believe. Unless you have non-public, insider knowledge — and if you had, it would be against SEC regulations for you to invest — someone has already made money on the findings of your research.

While it is certainly possible to get rich in quick fashion using some or all of the suggestions provided above, it seems unlikely and not worth the risk, particularly if you can’t hedge against your bets.

7 ways to get rich faster, Annie Logue, MSN Money, June 23, 2008

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I have posted all new bonus links for new ING Direct savings accounts as of today. If you are a new customer to ING Direct, one of the first internet-only banks that took advantage of low overhead to offer great interest rates on savings accounts, you can receive $25 for opening a new account. They require that your initial deposit is at least $250.

The Consumerism Commentary readers who provided these links will receive $10 when their links are used. I’ve used all of my available referral links for the savings accounts, so I am not earning anything (other than perhaps the admiration of readers I’ve helped earn a few bucks).

For those hoping to have their own referral links posted for the benefit of new customers, the waiting list is now full. Subscribe to the Consumerism Commentary RSS feed to be notified when I’ll be looking to add people to the waiting list.

Get the $25 ING Direct bonus links here.

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