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As a continuation of President Obama’s jobs proposal (economic stimulus) for curbing spending and increasing federal government revenue, the administration is taking a cue from famous investor, Warren Buffett. On many occasions, Buffett has claimed that wealthy Americans do not pay a fair share of the tax burden relative to their means to do so. In his famous example, Buffett describes his effective tax rate as being lower than his secretary’s.

Many wealthy people earn income through investing returns, not ordinary income, which are taxed at a rate of 15 percent rather than a marginal rate schedule with a maximum of 35 percent in 2011.

Warren BuffettCritics of Buffett’s outspoken desire to reform the tax code say that Buffett can help reduce the deficit by donating a portion of his net worth to the U.S. Treasury, as the government allows for such donations. Those who feel that Buffett’s comments, if they influence policy, could hurt them today or in the future say that Buffett could voluntarily not take deductions that lower his tax liability, but like a good capitalist, Buffett will continue to take advantage of every avenue the tax code provides his for saving money.

Economists have crunched the numbers to show that tax law changes fashioned after Buffett’s statements would not raise enough revenue to cover the gap between government spending and revenue, but there doesn’t seem to be any implication by the plan’s supporters that this would be the case; cutting back cable television service won’t allow a poor family to afford a house, but it’s still a beneficial change.

People who once respected Buffett’s investing prowess now call him a socialist, despite the fact he’s one of the most successful capitalists the modern world has seen. I have no interest in defending Buffett’s philosophies, but he is a literal capitalist, as through his company Berkshire Hathaway he provides the means in the form of capital for other companies to thrive. Like a good capitalist, Buffett invested $5 billion in a struggling bank, with conditions only he could negotiate, such as a significant discount on the investment and influence among management for operational decisions.

To take advantage of Warren Buffett’s name, the president is informally calling his tax-related measures the “Buffett Rule.” If I were Warren Buffett, I wouldn’t my name attached to a politically-charged discussion even if I believe in the core aspects of the proposal. Buffett doesn’t mind that his name is being used in such a manner and is publicly supporting the measure.

What’s included in the Buffett Rule

Simply put, the Buffett Rule is a minimum tax on taxpayers with an income over $1 million. This would replace the misdirected Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). The original purpose of the AMT was similar: wealthy households should pay a fair share of taxes. Over time, though, as the income range for middle class grew, the AMT was not automatically adjusted. The AMT began to hit an increasing number of families who would not consider themselves wealthy.

In addition, the Buffett Rule would limit the tax deductions available to families in this income range and end subsidies to major corporations such as oil companies.

Another key to the revenue portion of Obama’s proposal is to let the tax cuts enacted under President Bush expire for couples with incomes over $250,000. That’s not necessarily part of the Buffett Rule, and the proposal has been making the rounds since at least the beginning of Obama’s presidency.

A Congress unfriendly to tax increases will make passage of the Buffett Rule difficult. Wealthy families believe they are already paying their fair share of the tax burden and want to see low-income families pay more. According to the U.S. Census, the gap between the top and the bottom of the income scale has expanded to its widest point in history, and a situation in which both the rich and the poor feel the government unfairly discriminates against them will not lead to a solution.

The desired outcome in this case would be enough revenue to cover the government’s obligations plus the feeling among the systemically lower class that they have a fair opportunity to succeed and a feeling among the wealthy that they have an obligation to pay for a representative bulk of the country’s expenses.

Photo: Aaron Friedman

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Update: The Buffett Rule, if implemented, could help pay for the American Jobs Act.

As long as the public holds the general impression that economy isn’t favorable, and that’s certainly the case, for example, when unemployment is high or after a stock market crash, political leaders will propose stimulus plans to help move the country in a more favorable direction. The focus of the 2011 stimulus package is jobs, with unemployment a lagging factor in today’s economy. President Obama has pitched his 2011 stimulus plan with a total cost of $447 billion and is looking for Congress to quickly sign off on the plan to boost the economy.

There are politics at work here, of course, with an election looming next year and one political party eager to blame the other for the inevitable fact that the economy won’t look great by the time citizens in the United States head to the polls.

Dollar - 2011 Stimulus PackageThere is no stimulus check for American citizens this time, but here is what is included in the $447 billion 2011 stimulus package called the “American Jobs Act.”

  • Cut the payroll tax in half. Today, employees pay 4.2% on the first $106,800 of wages, an already-reduced rate from the normal 6.2%. The 2011 stimulus proposal would reduce the payroll tax to 3.1%. The proposal would also reduce the payroll tax rate paid by businesses to 3.1% on the first $5 million paid in wages.
  • Payroll tax exemptions for new hires and raises. Any new hire will be exempt from payroll taxes, both from the employee and the business side. The same is true for any employee who receives a raise; they will be continue to be taxed on their old salary.
  • Tax credit for business that hire the unemployed. If a business hires an individual who has been unemployed for over six months, the business will be able to claim a tax credit of $4,000.
  • Deductions for companies that invest in infrastructure. Companies that spend capital on equipment and plants will be able to deduct certain expenses from their taxes.
  • Creation of an infrastructure bank. After a round of federal funding, a new facility will be able to offer loans to help fund local infrastructure improvement projects. Once the infrastructure bank is operational, it should pay for itself through interest collection on the loans.
  • Transportation improvement projects. In addition to the infrastructure bank, the 2011 stimulus plan includes immediate funding for highways, mass ground transportation, and aviation.
  • Modernize schools. Part of the stimulus package will include spending to repair, rebuild, or outfit 35,000 public schools.
  • Fix vacant property. The federal government will dedicate funds for fixing up properties, residential or businesses, that have been foreclosed or abandoned.
  • Extend unemployment benefits. Although employee benefits have already been extended to 99 weeks, the stimulus proposal would extend benefits even further. For unemployed individuals who choose to build their skills through job training, the plan would extend benefits as well as provide a stipend.
  • Fund teachers and first responders. Obama would send $35 billion in federal money to local communities to help hire and keep public school teachers and emergency personnel.
  • Offer more home refinances. The President has already proposed extending mortgage refinancing at today’s low rates to more homeowners.

How to pay for the 2011 stimulus

The total cost of the tax cuts in the 2011 stimulus package is $254 billion and the total cost of the spending measures is $194 billion. To pay for the tax cuts and spending, Obama’s plan for the most part is to raise taxes on individuals with incomes over $200,000 (or $250,000 for couples filing jointly). These are the adjusted gross income values, which are often much lower than gross revenue from a job or a business. For business owners, adjusted gross income is the resulting number after business expenses are deducted; for all individuals, adjusted gross income is the resulting income after most retirement contributions are removed from the number.

Much of the following is part of the Buffett Rule proposed by President Obama on September 19, 2011.

  • Cap itemized deductions at a rate of 28%, not affecting anyone other than those in the top two income tax brackets. For every $100 in deductions, the most any America would be able to receive back is $28. Those who use major charitable donations to reduce taxable income, for example, could see a significantly higher tax bill.
  • Tax carried interest at ordinary income rates. Hedge fund managers and others in the financial industry have benefited from the long-term capital gains rate of 15%. When a compensation is paid out of investment returns, it can qualify as carried interest. The stimulus plan would combined carried interest with ordinary income and the total would be subject to the tax bracket calculation, with a rate as high as 39.6%.
  • Repeal oil subsidies. The oil industry has benefited from help from the government at a time when the industry seemed to be successful regardless of the subsidies. Paying for the stimulus plan could be assisted by removing these subsidies and allowing the industry to flourish on its own.

Obama’s proposal for the 2011 stimulus package has little chance of being approved by the Congress in its current form. There will likely be competing priorities between Republicans and Democrats to be settled first, and competing bills between the House of Representatives and the Senate in need of a compromise. As the situation changes, this article will contain the latest details.

What do you think about the 2011 stimulus package in its current form? Will it help to push the economy in the right direction? Is it completely unnecessary?

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The American Reinvestment and Recovery Act of 2009, the 2009 economic stimulus bill, provided an opportunity for homeowners in trouble to qualify for mortgage modifications. The Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) and the “Making Home Affordable” provided support for lenders who worked with homeowners.

Part of the requirement for qualifying for the modification program is for borrowers to have missed a number of payments. This put homeowners who could benefit from the program, in trouble but not yet delinquent, in a tough position. They would need to skip payments, even if they could pay, ruining their credit in the process. In addition, lenders made it difficult to qualify, with understaffed departments handling the cases, a lack of communication, mixed messages from customer service, and overall disorganization.

Mortgage RefinanceA more pressing problem with HAMP was that borrowers were required to owe less than 125% of a home’s value — and in a tough market where home values were falling, it was much easier for a homeowner to find himself in that position — and to have a high credit score.

Without HAMP delivering the desired effect, the Obama administration is looking at improving the concept as a part of the latest economic stimulus package. A third round of quantitative easing is unlikely to gain wide support, at least not in that form, so the federal government is looking for ways to reduce the risk of a second recession, a double-dip recession, or any other type of economic problem.

The Obama administration is seeking feedback on a new round of stimulus designed to help more homeowners qualify for a mortgage refinance. After a decade of lax lending standards, following the recession and credit crunch they have tightened, making it difficult for consumer with marginal credit histories — or even something not too out of the ordinary, like self-employment income without W2 income — to qualify. The new program will seek to allow more homeowners to refinance at a time when mortgage interest rates are very low.

Another aspect of this program would take federally-owned housing and convert the buildings into rentals, turning them over to investment firms to manage.

The plan could actually help pay down the deficit, as there are unspent funds that have been set aside for stimulus:

The idea is appealing because it would not necessarily require Congressional action. It also would not tap any of the $45.6 billion in Troubled Asset Relief Funds that was set aside to help struggling homeowners. Only $22.9 billion of that pool has been spent or pledged so far, and fewer than 1.7 million loans have been modified under federal programs. But Andrea Risotto, a Treasury spokeswoman, said whatever was left would be used to reduce the federal deficit.

Photo: Tom Hilton
New York Times

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America’s Lost Decade

This article was written by in Economy. 10 comments.

Larry Summers, former economic adviser to Barack Obama and Treasury secretary under Bill Clinton’s presidency, shared his thoughts on the economy through opinion pieces in the Financial Times and Washington Post. His concern is the possibility that the United States is heading for a “lost decade” similar to Japan’s lost decade in the 1990s. This country has already experienced five years of economic growth under 1 percent annually, and that’s half way to a decade. Summers argues that while changes in policies helped prevent total economic disaster in 2008 and 2009, the economy needs more stimulation right now to prevent the history of one side of the globe from repeating on this side.

He is calling for more infrastructure spending right now. The country’s infrastructure is quickly becoming obsolete, and a stimulus package that focuses on infrastructure maintenance and replacement at a time when financing is cheap would increase the level of employment and grow the economy. When the major stimulus package was developed, it was designed to focus on “shovel-ready projects,” the same type of infrastructure improvement that Summers is calling for now. Obama warned of a lost decade in 2009, when trying to sell Congress and the American public on the first stimulus package. What happened to that first stimulus? I know that stimulus funds supported local road and bridge improvement projects near me — some of which were started years ago and are still far from completion.

It must not have been big enough or agile enough. While the stimulus most likely helped to prevent a larger economic problem, we’re still heading towards a lost decade.

Larry Summers offers these suggestions for moving forward and sparking the economy.

This is no time for fatalism or for traditional political agendas. The central irony of financial crisis is that while it is caused by too much confidence, borrowing and lending, and spending, it is only resolved by increases in confidence, borrowing and lending, and spending. Unless and until this is done other policies [austerity measures, inflation protection[, no matter how apparently appealing or effective in normal times, will be futile at best…

Without the payroll tax cuts and unemployment insurance negotiated last autumn we might now be looking at the possibility of a double dip. Substantial withdrawal of fiscal stimulus at the end of 2011 would be premature. Stimulus should be continued and indeed expanded by providing the payroll tax cut to employers as well as employees.

Politicians are going to have a tough job convincing the country that more taxpayer money should go to stimulating the economy, the government should continue spending, and more federal debt is acceptable even at these low interest rates. Yet, if the economy struggles for another five years, global investors will lose interest in investing in the United States, and the country could find it difficult to survive economically against other nations’ economies.

Japan also introduced economic stimulus policies to try to recover from that country’s Lost Decade starting in 1991, but that country’s economy still hasn’t found its way. The economy in that region of the world is being fueled by other nations, where labor and parts are cheaper. When we look at Japan, China, Taiwan, and Korea, we may be looking to our own future, regardless of any new stimulus programs. This just might be a new reality, where economic growth comes from emerging nations.

Financial Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal

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20 Ways to Use the Payroll Tax Holiday

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When Congress passed the Tax Hike Prevention Act earlier this year, it included an economic stimulus in the form of a payroll tax holiday. As Leigh Mutert, CPA explained in our podcast interview, the payroll tax will be reduced in 2011 from 6.2 percent to 4.2 percent. As a result, paychecks will be a little more than ... Continue reading this article…

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Making Work Pay Credit Extension

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The 2009 economic stimulus came to the middle class in the form of the Making Work Pay credit, which provided a $400 credit for single taxpayers or a $800 credit for married taxpayers filing jointly across two years. The credit was embedded in W-2 paychecks, hardly noticeable to many. The credit was also designed to ... Continue reading this article…

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Obama’s Proposed Investment in American Infrastructure

by Flexo

President Obama proposed yesterday spending more than $50 billion over the next six years to modernize the transportation infrastructure in the United States. He is calling for renovations to or creation of 150,000 miles of roads, 4,000 miles of rail, and 150 miles of airport runways. The $50 billion would be an up-front cost, paid ... Continue reading this article…

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Making Work Pay Tax Credit Extension

by Flexo

The 2009 economic stimulus, usually called the Making Work Pay tax credit, provided slightly bigger paychecks for the middle class throughout part of 2009 and all of 2010. This benefit is in danger of expiring if Congress does not act to extend or renew the credit. This stimulus took a different form than those previous. ... Continue reading this article…

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