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ecrd factor

It’s easy to adopt one concept and use that concept to define your world. You commonly see this in religion, but I’m referring to personal finance concepts, as you might expect from Consumerism Commentary. One popular financial guru talks about The ECRD Factor. His followers — a guru can’t be a guru without a throng of fans who believe the guru’s words are gospel and question nothing — spread the word and this concept becomes well-known even if the name of the guru is not as widespread.

Outside of Consumerism Commentary, in what is usually referred to as “real life,” when the conversation turns to money for whatever reason, it is not uncommon for someone to share their advice. And often, someone will explain to me how wise and financially savvy they are because they’ve given up their daily morning coffee or doughnut or other expensive treat.

I will admit that saving four dollars a day is not entirely a bad idea. If this savings is repeated five days a week for fifty weeks a year, you’ve “earned” yourself $1,000 a year. Taking that concept to the next step, you could invest that $1,000 each year and grow your nest egg over time, doing much more for yourself your quality of life than a daily doughnut ever would. But the choice to forgo a daily treat does not exist in a vacuum.

In the cases of some of the people who have discovered their alleged personal financial freedom through their daily latte resistance, they’ve made this sacrifice only to lose ground on the larger, important financial decisions. They’ve taken daily baby steps forward but every so often, leap so far back that they’re worse off than they were when they started.

It’s very noble to have achieved the mindset that allows you to change your habit and break free from spending a few dollars each day. But if your real problem is buying clothes you can’t afford, or a car you can’t afford, or a house you can’t afford, any progress you’ve made by eschewing gourmet coffee or fattening doughy products can be rendered null and void. And the people I’ve spoken to who have been eager to flaunt their smart decision of going without a daily latte often fall victim to these other harmful behaviors.

If you pay $40,000 for a car when you only need one worth $16,000, you just undone twenty-four year’s worth of missing daily lattes. And that’s only if you pay cash. If you get a loan, the interest will harm you even further. If you pay $400,000 for a house when you should have spent for something smaller or in a different location $200,000, you can’t even live long enough to make that up in daily lattes. If you don’t manage your credit wisely, you could qualify only for a high-rate mortgage, costing you thousands of extra dollars — a thousand lattes or more — throughout the life of the loan.

The little things, like the daily small savings that accumulate over time, are helpful to your financial condition, but making wise decisions for the larger purchases can have a much larger bearing on your personal wealth. If an expensive coffee-related drink keeps you happy and sane, I say enjoy it, but make better decisions about the big things like cars, houses, the size of your family, and the location where you decide to live. The “mistake” of enjoying a daily treat doesn’t compare with the real financial decisions you make.

Keep in mind that I have no problem with people buying fancy cars or big houses, particularly if they can afford it. But someone opting to trim their expenses by skipping coffee is someone who wants to improve their financial condition, so it would be fair to assume that they should want to do so in the most effective manners. Everyone is free to set their own priorities, but life works better when those priorities actually match the goals.

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When first attempting to gain some control over your finances, it’s particularly helpful to micromanage. If your money is in a state of disarray due to spending more than you’re earning, then it’s helpful to look at every little expense, at least for a time. This will help give you a more accurate picture of your overall “outgo.” You may decide that those expensive coffee-related drinks you buy every day add up over time, and you can use that money for more important things, like investing for the future. (This idea is known popularly as the “Latte Factor®.”)

Paying close attention to the minutiae of spending is certainly helpful to many people as they learn to gain control of their financial lives and maintain that control. It’s easy, however, to get into the habit of looking through a microscope so often that you fail to see the bigger picture. This is a classic case of being penny wise, pound foolish.

Put another way, buying the wrong car can in an instant undo years of your hard work and financial gains sustained by eliminating your daily latte or replacing it with a $0.99 coffee. Following a tip on a hot stock has the possibility of decimating your investment in a short period of time. In fact, although I wouldn’t consider Vanguard’s Total Stock Market Index (VTSMX) a “hot stock tip,” I invested $5,000 in this fund for charitable causes at the end of of 2008, and the value has already dropped by 10%.

An article at the Motley Fool presents an interesting idea to illustrate just how much one big mistake, though seemingly innocuous, can undo years of scrimping and saving pennies here and there. The article presents a better example for housing than they do for stocks:

Conventional wisdom says that buying a house beats renting because you build equity and get tax benefits on your mortgage interest. But as with any investment, price matters.

And prices got detached from underlying value in a major way during the run-up. Those who took on conventional mortgages with monthly payments they could afford can wait out the storm. Unfortunately, those faced with refinancing teaser rates they could barely afford don’t have that luxury.

To calculate the cost of a housing mistake, let’s assume someone bought a $400,000 house and the house’s value dropped 10% (the latest numbers show average housing prices have fallen 14.4% year over year). That’s negative equity of $40,000, or 10,000 days of lattes. You’d have to skip that pick-me-up for 27 years to make up for this one. Yikes!

While most people decide when to buy a house out of necessity, perceived or actual, many people try to time the housing market, no matter how intelligent they may seem otherwise and how well they’ve convinced themselves of their infallibility. You can pinch all the pennies you want, but if you still make poor choices when faced with major purchasing decisions, you’re no better off.

The best solution is to find a balance between micromanagement and focusing on the entire financial picture.

Don’t Blow Your Retirement With One Mistake, Anand Chokkavelu, Motley Fool, June 19, 2008.

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